Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.805845 2.078003 2.377247 2.730703 3.136858 3.589066 4.130938
2025-06-01 1.412753 1.765396 2.185788 2.723991 3.395115 4.205015 5.257745
2025-06-08 1.124744 1.509239 2.000745 2.675373 3.578210 4.746308 6.375392
2025-06-15 0.986365 1.409820 1.985680 2.826470 4.024491 5.673295 8.121207
2025-06-22 0.848487 1.283416 1.908628 2.873538 4.328015 6.443937 9.766959
2025-06-29 0.721846 1.149398 1.795713 2.844678 4.508710 7.054431 11.261799
2025-07-06 0.599279 1.000168 1.634732 2.713215 4.506013 7.378127 12.352314
2025-07-13 0.548915 0.956923 1.630912 2.826446 4.901958 8.372253 14.649213
2025-07-20 0.509476 0.925017 1.639319 2.957943 5.341748 9.489779 17.303173
2025-07-27 0.469734 0.886029 1.628858 3.052504 5.725917 10.555517 20.006147
2025-08-03 0.427813 0.836545 1.592041 3.092113 6.012029 11.476931 22.562829
2025-08-10 0.376197 0.761141 1.496819 3.007356 6.049416 11.937078 24.295431
2025-08-17 0.322385 0.675514 1.373917 2.858165 5.953603 12.154511 25.635228
2025-08-24 0.289803 0.628293 1.320443 2.841560 6.123694 12.922806 28.218014
2025-08-31 0.257732 0.577468 1.252668 2.785415 6.203220 13.516605 30.521664
2025-09-07 0.247474 0.572482 1.280599 2.939436 6.758384 15.191276 35.439078
2025-09-14 0.229550 0.547626 1.261828 2.986448 7.080965 16.400850 39.482337
2025-09-21 0.208042 0.511291 1.212287 2.955341 7.218508 17.210783 42.709340
2025-09-28 0.182235 0.460911 1.123442 2.818140 7.083803 17.368950 44.385121
2025-10-05 0.174710 0.454442 1.137970 2.935393 7.588372 19.121973 50.286287
2025-10-12 0.168664 0.450837 1.158946 3.071748 8.160378 21.117618 57.105009
2025-10-19 0.160933 0.441715 1.164814 3.169823 8.647110 22.963328 63.802986
2025-10-26 0.151060 0.425429 1.150020 3.210880 8.987836 24.476037 69.823820